30 Jul 10 The Gamblers Fallacy

Whether you are a new player or an old player, somebody who was been around since the Stone Age or somebody who's first roulette spin was on the internet. There is something you need to know, this one thing single handedly defeats online roulette players.

The Gambler's Fallacy is one thing you must be on constant guard against. This fallacy has been making players and gamblers make terrible bets, over and over again. Is has been around for centuries and is not going to go away anytime soon.

In a nutshell The Gambler's Fallacy is the false belief that past events will influence future events when in reality they do not. An example would be that many players think that if the ball lands on red five times in a row that they should bet on black since it is bound to land on black sooner than later.

The idea that the roulette table has some sort of memory and makes things balance out is entirely false. The roulette table does not care about what the last spin was, and before every spin the odds are reset to what they normally are.

The reason The Gambler's Fallacy is able to claim so many victims is that unless one really does some research on the odds The Gambler's Fallacy makes perfect sense. It takes some further examination in order to discover that The Gambler's Fallacy is just that.

To demonstrate what I mean I'll give you two examples, one example showing why it might look like there is no fallacy. I will then give another example going deeper into the odds to show that The Gambler's Fallacy exists for a reason.

Imagine that there is no zero at an online roulette table. This would mean that there is a 50% chance of landing on black, now the odds of a ball landing on black twice in a row is smaller than 50%, and the odds of it landing on black three times in a row is even smaller. So on the surface it looks like the more times it lands on black the less likely it is to land on black again. However if you look deeper the odds of the ball landing on black three times and then red one time matches up with the odds of the ball landing on black four times.

There is no reason that The Gambler's Fallacy should destroy your bankroll. However it will as soon as you let it. If you want to do well at online roulette you must take this threat seriously otherwise it could completely and utterly destroy you.

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